Travis County, TX Housing Market Update: June 2026

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Key Takeaways

  • Home sales in Travis County surged 16% year over year in June while pending sales jumped 19%, far outpacing national gains of about 4%, as buyers capitalized on stable prices and elevated inventory.
  • The median sale price rose to $530,000—up 1.9% from a year ago—marking the first sustained appreciation since the 2022 correction, though still well below the pandemic peak near $650,000.
  • Months of supply fell to 4.9 from over 6 a year ago, signaling a rapid shift from a clear buyer’s market toward more balanced conditions.

Travis County, TX Housing Market Snapshot

Median Sale Price Pending Sales Active Listings Days on Market Sold Above List
$530,000 (+1.9% YoY) 1,652 (+18.7% YoY) 9,785 (-5.2% YoY) 58 days (-7 days YoY) 14.1% (+2.1 ppt YoY)

Travis County’s housing market accelerated in June, with buyer activity surging at multiples of the national rate. Prices ticked up modestly, inventory contracted for a second consecutive period, and homes sold meaningfully faster than a year ago. The combination of rising demand and shrinking supply pushed months of supply below five for the first time since early 2024, suggesting the buyer’s market that defined 2023-2025 is fading.

Learn everything you need to know about the Travis County, TX housing market as we head into summer, and what buyers and sellers can do to succeed.

U.S. Housing Market Snapshot

Median Sale Price Pending Sales Active Listings Days on Market Months of Supply
$409,900 (+2.5% YoY) 343,633 (+3.3% YoY) 1,466,621 (-0.1% YoY) 49 days (+1 day YoY) 3.9 months

Nationally, the housing market continued its steady trajectory in June—prices rose 2.5%, sales ticked up modestly, and inventory held essentially flat. Homes took one additional day to sell compared with a year ago, and supply remained below four months, keeping conditions tilted toward sellers in most markets. Travis County diverged sharply: sales growth was four to five times the national pace, inventory fell five times faster, and homes moved a week quicker than last June even as the national pace slowed.

“June marked a bump in the road for the ongoing housing market recovery,” said Chen Zhao, Redfin’s head of economics research. “Prices climbed faster than in recent months, and economic uncertainty and rising mortgage rates tied to war in Iran spooked some homebuyers and sellers. On a positive note, home sales trended upwards, and affordability improved as wages rose faster than prices. There are pockets of competition in the Midwest, Northeast, and Bay Area, but in general, consumers are still struggling through a difficult period. Even so, economists still expect the market to slowly improve in the coming years.”

Travis County Prices Turned Positive After Two Years of Stagnation

The median sale price in Travis County was $530,000 in June, up 1.9% from a year ago, while national prices rose 2.5%. This is a notable shift: prices had been flat to slightly negative on a year-over-year basis for more than two years following the correction from pandemic highs. The median price per square foot edged up less than 1% to $276, indicating that appreciation is emerging but remains modest on a per-unit basis.

The typical home sold for about 97% of its list price, and 27% of active listings carried a price reduction—well above the national average of 21%. Sellers who priced competitively found willing buyers, but overpricing still led to stale listings. Only 14% of homes sold above asking compared with 29% nationally, confirming that bidding wars remained the exception in Travis County. Still, above-list activity rose 2 percentage points from a year ago, a sign that competition is heating up for the best-priced homes.

Buyer Activity Surged at Multiples of the National Pace

Homes sold in Travis County reached 1,535 in June, a 16% jump from a year ago, while national sales rose about 4%. Pending sales climbed even faster at 19% year over year to 1,652—the strongest June reading since 2021. The gap between local and national demand growth was striking: Travis County buyers re-engaged aggressively once prices stabilized and began to appreciate modestly, creating a positive feedback loop of rising activity.

Homes moved markedly faster than a year ago. The median time on market fell to 58 days from 65 a year prior—a seven-day improvement—and about 23% of homes went under contract within two weeks. Nationally, homes actually took one additional day to sell. The acceleration in pace, combined with surging volume, confirmed that the backlog of sidelined buyers was entering the market in force.

Inventory Contracted as Demand Absorbed Supply

Active listings in Travis County fell 5% year over year to 9,785, continuing the inventory drawdown that began earlier this year. New listings rose 7% to 2,188, meaning sellers continued entering the market at a healthy clip. But the surge in buyer activity absorbed new supply faster than it appeared, pulling inventory lower despite fresh entries. Nationally, active listings barely moved at -0.1%, making Travis County’s inventory contraction about fifty times steeper in relative terms.

Months of supply stood at 4.9—a significant drop from over six months a year ago and approaching the 4-5 month range typically associated with a balanced market. The national figure remained at 3.9. If the current trajectory holds—demand growing at 15-19% annually while inventory shrinks 5%—Travis County could reach seller’s market territory by fall. Buyers who have been waiting for maximum leverage should recognize that conditions are tightening quickly.

Luxury Led Price Gains; Lower Tiers Continued to Correct

Price Tier Median Price (YoY) Sold (YoY) DOM (YoY) % Above List (YoY)
Luxury (top 5%) $1,869,416 (+10.2%) 409 (+3.5%) 51 days (-3 days) 12.2% (+2.6 ppt)
High (65th-95th%) $732,704 (-1.5%) 1,539 (+10.0%) 45 days (-2 days) 17.0% (+2.1 ppt)
Non-luxury (35th-65th%) $434,917 (-1.3%) 1,091 (+9.0%) 68 days (+10 days) 15.0% (-1.5 ppt)
Starter (5th-35th%) $316,639 (-3.7%) 961 (+21.8%) 70 days (+4 days) 14.2% (-1.4 ppt)
Bottom (bottom 5%) $201,012 (-4.5%) 181 (+22.3%) 103 days (+40 days) 8.3% (-1.2 ppt)

Redfin analysis of MLS data • Rolling three-month period (March-May 2026)

Only luxury homes ($1.84M median) posted price gains, rising nearly 6% year over year. That tier also saw the largest increase in above-list activity, jumping over 5 percentage points. The high tier ($738K median) led in volume growth at 16%, with above-list rates rising 4 percentage points—suggesting that upper-tier demand remained robust even without price appreciation. Both upper tiers sold faster, with days on market falling 3 to 5 days.

Below the midpoint, prices declined across the board. Starter homes fell about 3%, and bottom-tier prices dropped nearly 4%—with homes in that bracket sitting for 87 days on average, 16 more than a year ago. The divergence between tiers reflected a market where high-end demand was resilient and growing, while affordable segments continued correcting from pandemic-era overpricing. Volume surged across all tiers, however, indicating broad buyer re-engagement regardless of price segment.

How Buyers and Sellers Can Navigate the Travis County, TX Housing Market

If you’re buying in Travis County, conditions remain favorable but are tightening fast. Nearly five months of supply, 27% of listings with price cuts, and 58 days on market all point toward negotiating room—but those numbers have improved significantly from a year ago. Act decisively on well-priced homes, especially in the starter and mid-tier segments where prices are still 2-3% below last year. The window of maximum buyer leverage is narrowing as demand accelerates.

If you’re selling, the momentum has shifted in your favor compared with a year ago. Transaction volume is surging at 16-19%, homes are selling a full week faster, and above-list activity is climbing. Price accurately from day one—27% of listings still require a price cut—but know that well-priced homes are attracting buyers quickly. If your property is in the upper tiers, demand is particularly strong: luxury and high-tier sales grew 13-16% with above-list rates rising 4-5 percentage points.

Travis County, TX Market Data by City

Rolling three-month period (April-June 2026). Cities with 50+ sales shown.

City Median Sale Price (YoY) Sold New List. Active DOM % Above Supply
Austin $555,000 (-0.9% YoY) 2,960 4,896 8,890 49 15.8% 5.0
Pflugerville $360,000 (-9.9% YoY) 220 323 594 60 15.0% 4.5
Lakeway $825,000 (+6.5% YoY) 143 247 451 56 9.8% 5.6
Lago Vista $415,000 (-8.8% YoY) 103 135 326 65 25.2% 5.4
Manor $332,455 (+0.7% YoY) 86 178 315 66 14.0% 6.9
Steiner Ranch $837,500 (+2.4% YoY) 70 114 173 51 5.7% 3.9

This article has been generated, in whole or in part, using generative artificial intelligence (AI) technology, with input from Redfin head of economics research Chen Zhao. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy and reliability of this information, you should independently verify all data, facts, and citations contained in this article before relying on it for any purpose. This information is not a substitute for advice from a real estate agent, financial advisor, or other licensed professional. County-level data is not seasonally adjusted. Check the Redfin Data Center for additional in-depth housing market data.

If you are represented by an agent, this is not a solicitation of your business. This article is for informational purposes only, and is not a substitute for professional advice from a medical provider, licensed attorney, financial advisor, or tax professional. Consumers should independently verify any agency or service mentioned will meet their needs. Learn more about our Editorial Guidelines here.

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